
Q3 edition: updated market trends, weather impact, and harvest outlook heading into the second half of the year across The Nusantara
While supply remains stable, premium-quality materials for key ingredients may become more limited in the second half of the year. Forward planning is essential to secure your supply.
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BMKG reports intensified dry conditions across Sumatra, Java, and Sulawesi from June to August, driven by El Niño and the Australian Monsoon.
Reduced rainfall is expected to reduce biomass yields and distillation efficiency, affecting Citronella, Patchouli, Vetiver, Clove, and Sugandh Mantri oil production through 2026–2027.
We are proactively strengthening supply resilience by securing raw materials, diversifying water sources, and monitoring fire risks ahead of the August dry season peak.
Prices have stagnated as collectors clear high-priced inventory, despite ongoing tight supply. New crop from March replanting is maturing, with fresh oil expected to enter the market late August–early September.
Raw material remains abundant on the back of strong 2025 carryover, keeping prices low. However, El Niño-driven dryness threatens distillation processing despite plentiful raw fruit supply.
Harvest is entering a critical window as newly replanted fields (from March) face an early dry season with only a brief rainfall window. Farmer attrition toward cash crops like coffee and palm oil has left limited capacity to scale supply.
Demand remains resilient for natural ingredients, especially in niche and prestige segments.
Traceable, responsibly sourced ingredients continue to shape buying decisions.
New extraction technologies and upcycled aromatics are opening new possibilities.
Sumatra - Sulawesi
Firm. Farmers holding inventory for better pricing.
Valued for its depth, longevity and exceptional fixative properties.